Erica Villalon

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6/19/19 The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged Wednesday, but signaled it was prepared to lean toward a more dovish stance as uncertainties in its growth outlook have increased. The Federal Open Market Committee kept the fed funds rate in a range of  2.25% to 2.5%. . In a sign that the Fed is laying the groundwork for more accommodative policies, the central bank ditched "patient" from its policy language and said it would "act as appropriate to sustain the expansion." "The Committee continues to view sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective as the most likely outcomes, but uncertainties about this outlook have increased," the Fed said.  More Daily Thoughts @  https://ericavillalontrader.wordpress.com/

Daily Market Thoughts: 6/17/19 Faith in the Fed pushes Wall Street higher Wall Street climbed on Monday, with Facebook (NASDAQ: FB ), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ) and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN ) leading the way, as investors awaited a key Federal Reserve meeting that is expected to lay the groundwork for an interest rate cut later this year. The U.S. central bank is expected to leave borrowing costs unchanged at its two-day policy meeting starting Tuesday, but its statement will provide insight into the impact of the U.S.-China trade war, President Donald Trump's calls for a rate cut and weaker economic data. With investors expecting a rate cut as early as July, the  S&P 500 index  has risen 5% this month after tumbling in May due to fears about the U.S.-China trade war.

The Canadian dollar is unchanged on Friday, the final session before the week of Christmas. Currently, USD/CAD is trading at the 1.35 line. On the release front, the markets are keeping a close eye on today’s key indicators out of Canada and the US. Canadian markets will be closed on Monday and Tuesday. After an uneventful week, there was plenty of data for the markets to digest on Thursday. US Final GDP for the third quarter posted an excellent gain of 3.5%, above the forecast of 3.3%. Durable goods reports were a mixed bag. Core Durable Goods Orders gained 0.5%, above the forecast of 0.2%. Durable Goods Orders posted a sharp decline of 4.6%, but this was better than the forecast of -4.9%. On the employment front, unemployment claims jumped to 275 thousand, much weaker than the forecast of 255 thousand. Still, the 4-week average of jobless claims remains at very low levels. In Canada, key numbers were a mixed bag on Thursday. Inflation indicators disappointed and headed downwa...

USD Temp Pull Back: Net Bearish Bets on Euro Dollar Futures : Speculators dialed back their net bearish bets on Eurodollar futures from record highs after the Federal Reserve as expected raised interes...

Speculators dialed back their net bearish bets on Eurodollar futures from record highs after the Federal Reserve as expected raised interest rates last week, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday. Speculators also pared their net bearish or short bets on U.S. 10-year Treasury note futures from their highest levels since April 2010. On the other hand, speculative net shorts in two-year and five-year Treasury futures rose as the U.S. central bank surprised traders by hinting it might raise interest rates at a faster pace than had previously thought. The amount of speculators' bearish, or short, positions in Eurodollar futures exceeded bullish, or long, positions by 2.008 million contracts on Dec. 20, down from a record 2.358 million net shorts in the prior week, according to the CFTC's latest Commitments of Traders data. Speculative net shorts in 10-year T-notes fell to 221,058 contracts, down from 268,395 which was the most net shorts...